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Turkey
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Kamil



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PostPosted: Sun Jul 25, 2010 4:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I keep reading about Turkey's interest in acquiring nuclear arms from many different sources. If it is true, I have no idea how they are planning to do it.
Currently there is no nuclear reactors in Turkey, and there is strong opposition for building any. So are they going to purchase some raw materials to build nuclear arms from another country or countries?

Here is another article about nuclear arms in Turkey:
Quote:
By Gregory R. Copley, Editor, Global Information System

A quiet but intense debate is ongoing within senior circles of the governing Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi (Justice and Development Party: AKP) in Turkey over whether or not this is the time to proceed rapidly with the development and acquisition of nuclear weapons.

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At stake is Turkey's strategic parity with other nuclear powers in the region: Russia, Israel, Pakistan, and Iran. Highly-placed sources indicate that Turkey has been deliberating the acquisition of military nuclear capability for some time, but has been constrained by its need to maintain good relations with the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty (NATO) partners generally, as well as the European Union (EU). The Turkish General Staff (Genelkurmay Baskanlari: GB) is also engaged in this debate, but, for the most part, this is a debate dominated by the civilian leadership.

Turkish acquisition of nuclear weapons would significantly transform the balance of power and the strategic dynamic of the Eastern Mediterranean, the Greater Black Sea Basin (GBSB), and the Caucasus, and would be the cornerstone of Turkey's ambitious program to restore what it sees as its historical pan-Turkist mission. Indeed, without nuclear weapons at least as far as regional perception is concerned Turkey could not compete against a nuclear Iran or be seen as an independent "great power" in the region.

Nuclear weapons research has long been underway, under conditions of extreme secrecy, in Turkey, and the AKP leadership is aware that it is probable that this will become public knowledge as the effort becomes more intense.

http://www.worldtribune.com/worldtribune/WTARC/2010/me_turkey0701_07_23.asp
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mv
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PostPosted: Sun Jul 25, 2010 4:40 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

search this Stratfor's article for the word "reactor".

(Notice that it would be rather illogical for the Turks not to have this program... and not to have it quickly, given the program in Iran.)
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Fredledingue



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PostPosted: Mon Jul 26, 2010 5:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mv wrote:
that it would be rather illogical for the Turks not to have this program... and not to have it quickly, given the program in Iran
Wouldn't it be cheaper and safer and more effective to prevent Iran from aquiring nukes instead?

If Turkey could join the EU in the extra non-UN sanctions against Iran, they could have weight an a apreciable strategic position. Instead they do silly deals with Brazil about uranium swap...

Also Turkey doesn't need nukes for its own defense since it's under the Nato umbrella. But if they want their own nuke for their own greed of power, their Nato membership could be problematic.
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Gunnen4u



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PostPosted: Mon Jul 26, 2010 7:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Let Turkey have its own nukes, I do not see why they shouldn't if we're pretty much weak on letting everyone else have them. A powerful Turkey is what might be needed since the Boy and Inc. have done their best to destroy US influence in the area.
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track_snake



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PostPosted: Tue Jul 27, 2010 10:11 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Turkey will soon be accepted as a member of EU; no doubt about that.

As long as Israel possess nuclear arms - already for probably more that 30 years - it is difficult to forbid Iran to have them.

/track_snake
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John L
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PostPosted: Tue Jul 27, 2010 3:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

track_snake wrote:
Turkey will soon be accepted as a member of EU; no doubt about that.

As long as Israel possess nuclear arms - already for probably more that 30 years - it is difficult to forbid Iran to have them.

/track_snake


Really?! Are you saying that equipping a bully with a certain weapon, especially after that very bully has threatened his neighbor, and others, has just as much right as another neighbor, who does not wave them around, and doesn't even acknowledge ownership of any.

What are you going to say when/if that same bully actually uses those weapons on a neighbor? Are you going to wring your hands, wax poetic, and offer sincere(?) platitudes to the victims? What would you do then, besides use the preferred weapon of 'harsh language'?

And as for Turkey, I somehow doubt it will ever become an EU member. I don't even think they really care much now. And too, with the history of putting Turkey off, my guess is that Euros are going to continue to find excuses to exclude them, especially now that they are firmly in the camp of Islamic hard liners.
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jt
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PostPosted: Tue Jul 27, 2010 4:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I concur that Turkey has given up on joining the EU. The EU is having its economic problem and Turkey wants to be a player in the ME politics, which separates it from the EU.
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Kamil



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PostPosted: Tue Jul 27, 2010 5:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think it is wrong to think that Turkey is aligning itself with the ME Countries. Currently, Russia has become Turkey's largest trading partner, and soon visa requirements will be lifted between the two countries. Visa requirements have been lifted between Turkey and Serbia, and old enemies are becoming trade partners and new friends. Turkey is doing booming trade with Georgia and there is no longer visa requirements between the two countries.

Following excerpt from this week's Newsweek Magazine explains Turkish Goals much better than I can.
Quote:
The reality, though, is not that Ankara is allying itself with the Islamic world. Instead, it is remaking itself as the center of the politics and economics of its own region. In other words, it’s a mistake to see Turkey as being “with” the EU and U.S., or “with” the Muslim world or Russia. All are parts of a new, strongly Turkey-centered policy that rests on its geography and economic position. In practice that means that while Europe remains Turkey’s top foreign-policy priority, it’s not the only one. Turkey’s own national interests, political and economic, now sometimes trump old alliances with the U.S., NATO, and Europe. Turkey has long been seen as having “strong muscles, a weak stomach, a troubled heart, and a mediocre brain,” says Davutoglu, referring to Ankara’s history of lashing out at neighbors and making piecemeal alliances. Now it is time for Turkey to “be European in Europe and Eastern in the East, because we are both.”

Full article at: http://www.newsweek.com/2010/07/26/ankara-in-the-middle.html
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Palladin



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PostPosted: Tue Jul 27, 2010 9:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

They are both and if Turkey can stay there and avoid serious conflicts,with all the natural assets she has,it may be Turkey exceeds some west European states in wealth in the next decade.

Maybe exceeds ours.who knows?

My wife works out with a group of ladies and a friend just got back from a vacation in Turkey as if it was Cancun or Myrtle Beach.

A UT basketball player has just gone to Turkey to play for Anatolya on the Aegean coast.
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Gunnen4u



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PostPosted: Tue Jul 27, 2010 9:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

They also make some great shotguns available to the public there.
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Kamil



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PostPosted: Wed Jul 28, 2010 1:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

It seems like many sport stars are signing up with Turkish teams, especially soccer stars. Now there are so many Brazilian players with Istanbul Soccer Teams that some people are calling Istanbul as "Brazil by the Bosporus"
Just today a Real Madrid soccer star Guti signed two years contract with the Besiktas team, and over 20,000 cheering Besiktas fans attended the signing ceremony.
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Gunnen4u



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PostPosted: Wed Jul 28, 2010 7:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I always thought it was because Turks ethnically looked white/blond/light eyes all the way to dark hair/brown skin, and everything in between just like Brazil.
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War is kinda fun

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mv
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PostPosted: Wed Jul 28, 2010 9:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Turkey's New Foreign Policy Direction

Quote:
Prime Minister Erdoğan, and the Justice and Development Party (AKP) have changed Turkey fundamentally. They do not simply seek good relations with their Arab neighbors and Iran. Instead, they favor the most radical elements in regional struggles, hence their embrace of Syria over Lebanon and of Hamas over Fatah, and their endorsement Iran's nuclear program.

Over the last 8 years, the AKP government has reoriented Turkey toward the Arab and Iranian Middle East, not to facilitate bridge-building to the West, but in an effort to play a leadership role not only in the Middle East but also among Islamic countries more broadly. Unfortunately, that leadership is increasingly oriented around the most extreme elements, including Iran, Syria and the terrorist Hamas leadership of Gaza.

In addition, Erdoğan has defended Sudan's Omar Hassan al-Bashir, who had been indicted on charges of genocide by the International Criminal Court, and personally vouched for Yasin al-Qadi, whom the U.S. Treasury department has labeled a "specially designated global terrorist" for his support of al-Qaeda.

For too long, American diplomats and officials in both the Barack Obama and George W. Bush administrations have been in denial: They have embraced Turkey as they wished it to be rather than calibrate policy to the reality of what Turkey has become. This is neither realism nor the basis of sound foreign policy.

Some see Erdoğan's motive in Turkish reaction to European slights and anger at the Iraq war. However, Turkey's radical turn is not reactive. Neither Iraq nor failure to gain acceptance to the European Union explain Erdoğan's personal endorsement of al-Qaeda financiers, or his government's support for crude anti-American and anti-Semitic propaganda, nor his own rejection of Western liberalism, all of which have led Turkey to become and, according to the 2010 Pew Global Attitudes survey, remain among the world's most anti-American countries.
......
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jt
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 29, 2010 5:00 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

National Geographic magazine had an article that discusses a new railroad from Turkey through the southern Caucusus, running through Tbilisi. Turkey is funding it. It will link Turkey (and Europe) to Asia.

It appears to me that this means that Turkey is not orienting completely towards the Islamic states and that it wishes to remain a influential with many countries. It also puts Georgia in a central position. It could be a great boon to trade.

The Armenians lost out due to the old antagonism with the Turks.

LINK
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Kamil



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PostPosted: Thu Jul 29, 2010 8:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thank you JT for posting the link to a very interesting article.
Even though I'm still undecided on Erdogan's real intentions, I'm seeing that economy in Turkey started booming, and opening to Moslem World is just a small portion of the opening Turkey has to all the other countries who are willing to cooperate with Turkey.

I know that Turkey's stand is upsetting many neoconservatives, but in the long run USA could benefit from having a strong and democratic country in the region. Turkey could be a better friend to the USA than some countries who appear to be a better friends, but possibly only to get more USA aid.
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ghoullio
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PostPosted: Thu Jul 29, 2010 8:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Trust me, Kamil, you need not fear the ire of the neoconservatives. They are a useless group, who's authority is quickly fading.
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Gunnen4u



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PostPosted: Thu Jul 29, 2010 9:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kamil wrote:
Turkey could be a better friend to the USA than some countries who appear to be a better friends, but possibly only to get more USA aid.


Key point here is self-sufficient and able to fend for itself without having the US as a major aid backer or having Turkey viewed as a US puppet.
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War is kinda fun

Congratulations to Ted Kennedy, one year sober now!
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track_snake



Joined: 17 Oct 2006
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PostPosted: Sun Aug 01, 2010 11:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

John L wrote:
track_snake wrote:
Turkey will soon be accepted as a member of EU; no doubt about that.

As long as Israel possess nuclear arms - already for probably more that 30 years - it is difficult to forbid Iran to have them.

/track_snake


Really?! Are you saying that equipping a bully with a certain weapon, especially after that very bully has threatened his neighbor, and others, has just as much right as another neighbor, who does not wave them around, and doesn't even acknowledge ownership of any.

What are you going to say when/if that same bully actually uses those weapons on a neighbor? Are you going to wring your hands, wax poetic, and offer sincere(?) platitudes to the victims? What would you do then, besides use the preferred weapon of 'harsh language'?

And as for Turkey, I somehow doubt it will ever become an EU member. I don't even think they really care much now. And too, with the history of putting Turkey off, my guess is that Euros are going to continue to find excuses to exclude them, especially now that they are firmly in the camp of Islamic hard liners.

-----------------------------------
Yes, we all know that. But nevertheless membership negotiations started 2005 and are expected to be finished 2015 ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accession_of_Turkey_to_the_European_Union )

Turkey will become the first Asian member in EU (it is only a small part of Turkey that is in Europe; 95% is in Asia).

/tracl_snake
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Kamil



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PostPosted: Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

An interesting article from Newsweek, it explains current Turkey very well.
Sail the Seas and Come to the Holy City of Byzantium
by Howard Fineman
As Europe struggles to stay afloat, Turkey is booming financially and culturally. Welcome to the globe’s most central hotspot.
I’m back in Washington, D.C., after a three-week trip to Italy, Greece, Turkey, and the Black Sea, and here is the news: the art in the new modern-art museum in Istanbul is far more adventurous than the art in the new modern-art museum in Rome.
It’s not the first time that the art scene is more vibrant in Byzantium or Constantinople (Istanbul’s ancient names) than in Rome. But, with all due deference to the Ottomans, that hasn’t happened since the Renaissance. In Rome the Maxxi was featuring the gnarled, nightmarish, self-referential canvases of Italian painter Dino De Dominicis—skillful, but divorced from the world, more reminiscent of Goya than Andy Warhol. In the Istanbul Modern, by contrast, the centerpiece was a vast, splashy and clever installation by the Turkish fashion designer Hussein Chalayan—who tops the charts in London—that posed sly questions about the role of women in society even as it showed off his tailoring work.
Anectodal evidence to be sure—but emblematic of the vivid impressions on my third trip to Turkey in 10 years. Once again, for the third time in three millennia (not counting Homer’s), the city we now know as Istanbul and the country we now know as Turkey are becoming pivotal places in the affairs of the world. The reason, as always, is that Istanbul is a bridge—in this case, not just between continents, but between the Judeo-Christian secular West and the resurgent, Islamic East at a moment when that face-off defines our global era.
Turkey’s Quran-honoring but still secular government, led by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has carefully balanced bows to mullahs with bids to mutual funds in its seven years in power. With clear legislative majorities and a touch of sultan-like assurance, Erdogan is able to cut quick—and deliverable—financial deals. Turkish businessmen I talked to grudgingly like him for that—even if many worry about his push to put Islam again (for the first time since Atatürk in the 1920s) at the center of Turkey’s secular society. “Erdogan is balancing things well,” said Sahir Erozan, a resort owner who has both Turkish and American citizenship, and who used to be a restaurateur (and Democratic fundraising activist) back in Washington.
As a result, the Turkish economy is booming, fueled in part by a new wave of investment from the Arab Middle East, but also from the West. A construction craze is underway. Streets in Istanbul are being ripped up for a new tunnel and train beneath the Bosporus; cranes dominate the skyline on the Asia side to the east, where suburban development expands daily. Turkey’s debt-to-GDP ratio is one of the lowest in the developed or developing world—lower, in fact, than most countries in the European Union, which has turned up its nose at admitting Turkey for years. Now the laugh is on the EU.
Turkey’s new relevance helps explain some recent headlines: why the Israelis joined Turkey in a U.N. investigation of the Gaza relief-ship incident; why President Obama just floated a new invitation to Iran to seek a deal on Tehran’s nuclear ambitions. Turkey’s needs, in both cases, figured heavily in the moves.
This month the Turkish military—which still plays a huge role in the country, and which has a history of successful (and American-supported) coups—is deciding whom to elevate to top positions. The betting is that those chosen will be willing to play ball with Erdogan. My sense is that the U.S. government doesn’t mind—indeed, that it may approve of the pro-Erdogan appointments. The U.S. doesn’t have the influence over this process it once did, in any case. Then, the focus will turn to next month’s referendum on amending the Turkish Constitution to reduce the military’s traditionally large role in society—and to further erode Atatürk’s determined secularism. Again, expect the U.S. to tread carefully, on the theory that a Turkey that inches back to Islam can be the key broker with other Muslim nations.
The question now is whether Turkey will drift too far away from secularism for its own, and for everyone else’s, good. Thus far, it hasn’t. Israel’s vibrant democracy and its deep cultural ties to America and the West make defense of the Jewish state a crucial element of America’s foreign-policy agenda. But, in strategic and now even financial and religious terms, Turkey is a key—perhaps the key—to maintaining a sense of normality and peace in the region. Barack Obama acknowledged this when he took office: his first trip outside North America as president, in March of 2009, included a two-day stop in Turkey.
But my friend Sahir Erozan knew this was coming years ago. The son of a distinguished family of poets, scientists, and politicians, he came to Washington to study in the late 1970s, and stayed for the long boom of the 1980s and 1990s. He’s something of a trend sniffer: “I can smell the early,” he says. His Washington restaurant, Cities, was a gastronomical and political fixture on the D.C. scene. But after George W. Bush won a second term in 2005, Erozan decided to return home and develop his family’s resort hotel on the Bodrum peninsula of southern Turkey. Now his Macakizi Hotel is one of the hippest and most popular in the country. His guests come from Turkey, the U.S., Europe, Israel, and, increasingly, Arab countries in the Middle East such as Saudi Arabia and the U.A.E.
To survey the scene at the edge of the Aegean—the music pounding, the bar crowded, the yachts bobbing at the dock, the more quiet types sitting above, sipping tea on a breezy veranda—is to be astonished. Why? Because except for some of the Scandinavians, it’s pretty much impossible to tell who is from where. And they all have iPads.

Link: http://www.newsweek.com/2010/08/05/sail-the-seas-and-come-to-the-holy-city-of-byzantium.html
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jt
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 06, 2010 6:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Do you suppose that the Turks might be making an economic bubble, or will this expansion have legs for a long time?
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